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Equations · Probability and statistics

Chebyshev's inequality

A guarantee for any distribution: few values can lie far from the mean.

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P(|X − μ| ≥ kσ) ≤ 1/k²

Aethel says

the probability that the absolute value of X minus mu, is greater than or equal to k sigma, is less than or equal to 1 over k squared

What it says

Whatever the shape of the distribution, provided it has a mean and a variance, the probability of landing k or more standard deviations from the mean is at most one over k squared.

So at least 75% of values lie within two standard deviations of the mean, and at least 89% within three. For a normal distribution the true figures are much higher; the bound is for when nothing else is known.

Symbol by symbol

SymbolSay itMeans
|X − μ|the absolute value of X minus muthe distance of X from the mean
kka number of standard deviations, greater than 0
≥, ≤is greater than or equal to, is less than or equal toat least, at most

More on|x|Absolute value≤Less than or equal to

Where you meet it

Probability courses and proofs of the law of large numbers.

Questions

How do you say Chebyshev's inequality out loud?

P(|X − μ| ≥ kσ) ≤ 1/k² is read: “the probability that the absolute value of X minus mu, is greater than or equal to k sigma, is less than or equal to 1 over k squared.” That is exactly what Aethel says when it meets the formula in a book.

What does |X − μ| mean in Chebyshev's inequality?

|X − μ| (said “the absolute value of X minus mu”) is the distance of X from the mean.

What does k mean in Chebyshev's inequality?

k (said “k”) is a number of standard deviations, greater than 0.

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